Wednesday, May 19, 2010

SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK LIKELY

I am closely monitoring the weather. A high risk of severe weather stretches across parts of southeastern into central Oklahoma. A warm front is moving in from the south. When this front sweeps through, we will get warm fast. The high risk also lies along the richest moisture axis. DAMAGING HAIL TO BASEBALLS AND A FEW DEADLY TORNADOES APPEAR LIKELY. Initiation of storms will likely form in the next few hours across the dry-line. The dryline is across southwest Oklahoma. Temperatures across southwest Oklahoma are getting hot. Temperatures in the middle 80's. The dry-line is approaching the OKC metro. We will likely see our severe weather between 5-10pm. Super cells will likely go uo fast. Parameters for severe weather are coming together. It would not surprise me to see a PDS tornado watch. A PDS tornado watch is a particularly dangerous situation watch. If this occurs, we will see numerous tornadoes.

We are waiting on the warm front to move through. Satellite imagery shows sun in southwestern Oklahoma. Pay close attention to the weather.

I will be here throughout this event. Stay safe.

DANGEROUS WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON!!!!

I am noticing some scary scenarios for this afternoon. This afternoon could become very volatile. The parameters for severe weather are coming together. I can already see drier and less humid air out on the panhandle, and I can see extremely rich mositure across the body of Oklahoma.

The storms that we have across northwestern Oklahoma will lay out an outflow boundary. A warm front will set up this afternoon. This warm front will stretch from northwest to southeast. Where these features set up will determine who sees tornadoes or damaging hail.

The Storm Prediction Center has put out a probability of a 60% chance of damaging hail; therefore, if your area does not see a tornado, you could likely see damaging hail. This forecast is dependent upon diurnal heating. If the storms hang around this morning, we could see the severe weather risk be lowered. I will have a better idea around noon today. I am going to bed soon, so I can be ready for a long afternoon. STAY WEATHER AWARE. DO NOT PLAY WITH THIS SET-UP. WE COULD SEE DAMAGING TORNADOES.

Have a safe morning. I will see you this afternoon. I will be ready to go around the noon time. I will be set to go fullspeed at 1pm.

Thank you,

Jonathan Dyer

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

TORNADO WARNING

TORNADO WARNING
OKC045-129-190630-
/O.NEW.KOUN.TO.W.0046.100519T0549Z-100519T0630Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1249 AM CDT WED MAY 19 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN ELLIS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
NORTHERN ROGER MILLS COUNTY IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 130 AM CDT

* AT 1248 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF
DURHAM...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. IN ADDITION...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
BASEBALLS OR LARGER IS POSSIBLE.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ANGORA...CRAWFORD...DURHAM AND
ROLL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES. IF POSSIBLE...MOVE
TO A BASEMENT OR STORM SHELTER. OTHERWISE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM OR
HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND OUTSIDE
WALLS.

TORNADOES ARE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT BECAUSE THEY ARE HARD TO
SEE. TAKE COVER NOW. IF A BASEMENT IS NOT AVAILABLE...MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM OR HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND
VEHICLES FOR REINFORCED SHELTER. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3589 9942 3565 9950 3579 10001 3598 10001
3598 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 0548Z 284DEG 23KT 3587 9994

$$

TAYLOR